
The population of Amman is expected to increase from 2.4 million in 2012 to 3.6 million in 2030 if the 2012 fertility rate of 3.2 children per woman continues, which is considered a high fertility rate scenario.
According to the updated results of the Population Projections for the Governorates, discussed on Saturday by the National Population Projections Committee and the Technical Committee, the population of Amman will also increase to 5 million by the year 2050 if the fertility rate of 3.2 children per woman continues.
However, the results also indicate that if the fertility rate declines, in accordance with a low scenario rate of 2.1 children per woman of reproductive age, the capital population will be at 3,4 million in 2030 and increase to 4 million by 2050, which is one million people lower than the expected increase in high fertility rate scenarios.
The results, which will be published later in a special report in all Governorates of the Kingdom, indicate that, according to the these fertility rate scenarios, a major increase in the number of Jordanians could occur in the future, particularly when the Demographic Opportunity reaches its peak in 2030.
The National Population Projections Committee, headed by Director General of the Department of Statistics Qasim Al-Zubi, discussed the updated population projections for the Governorates for the years 2012 to 2050 based upon three total fertility rate scenarios, high, medium and low, and also based upon an agreed upon methodology by the population projections technical experts, in order to prepare the Jordanian Population Projections report.
The Committee, which includes 22 members representing various population and development stakeholders, is responsible for the direct planning of the implementation of population projections in order to meet the needs of various organizations seeking national estimates that have been approved and published.
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